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Post by DrKippy on Apr 24, 2011 21:53:14 GMT -5
Great night guys.
I'm gonna guess FBI = guard, which is good as the crowd thins out. The likely hood of a successful block would start going up.
You guys are starting to get some heat, so we'll need to be careful. If we can go one more night without a mafia death we'll be sitting really pretty imho.
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 24, 2011 21:54:33 GMT -5
Oh, and yeah, I'm glad someone got the board url reference  |
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 24, 2011 22:08:45 GMT -5
I'm going to try to bandwagon Killroy again.
Try not to jump on him too hard & fast, and see what the rest of the village does. If they don't take the bait, and we all jump on, it's going to look mighty bad for all of us.
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Post by extermatott on Apr 25, 2011 7:53:47 GMT -5
Even if the village decides to vote for the people who voted for loserforhire, they will either vote for killroy/vertroue or me, if kilroy/vertroue come up as good they will be less inclined to look there for mafia, if they vote me out they might waste there time voting out the two others, which could mean two free days for the cost of one mafia.
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Post by extermatott on Apr 25, 2011 7:54:11 GMT -5
but hopefully I wont die of course  |
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 8:32:54 GMT -5
My thoughts exactly.
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 10:50:39 GMT -5
The first few votes seem to be scattering. Possibly dangerous, in that a couple folks who decide to vote on one of us could actually pull off that kill. On the other hand, no strong trends are emerging, probably a good sign that the village doesn't have much trust, cohesion, or solid targets. Kime & Ringo are both gone, so there aren't a lot of strong voices either. Though, I admit, I was hoping I could try to sell myself in that role. Still early in the day of course, but maybe if one of you wants to toss a vote on The Anonymous that could help get the bandwagon rolling? I'd still be weary of jumping on board with me unless other villagers do so freely. We'll see what happens. I'm not up to much at work, so I've got lots of free time to think and type, so now you get even more DrKippy posts  |
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 10:51:30 GMT -5
Oh, and the "vote for TA" thing is just an option. Lots of other things we can do still.
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 10:58:27 GMT -5
I'm also prodding Mascara again.
I'm suggesting that the village is disorganized and needs a stronger bandwagon.
Hopefully she'll either step in line with my vote, or decide she wants to take down Cpt. Planet.
I'd sort of prefer she votes with me and helps get a bandwagon rolling, and then we just kill the two of them tonight. That's assuming nothing else changes. And it's much too early to set that in stone.
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Post by smooveop on Apr 25, 2011 15:34:19 GMT -5
I kind of want to wait and see if the village gets restless before throwing my vote. I feel like I can safely stay with my Vertrou vote from yesterday unless someone comes forward with a better argument.
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 15:55:36 GMT -5
Yeah. My biggest concern right now is that someone will point at Grund, or Exterm again or something, and then we'll be on a knife's edge.
I think waiting is probably good, since the village seems mighty skittish, but maybe try to join a viable target?
There are 16 total villagers at this moment.
Assuming no mafia deaths tonight, tomorrow we will have 13 village left, 5 of which is mafia.
So, at that point, assuming perfect village accuracy against us, and specials are in fact gone, we retain 2 mafia kills, etc:
Day 5:
Villagers: 8
Mafioso: 5
Day 6:
Villagers: 6
Mafioso: 4
Day 7:
Villagers: 4
Mafioso: 3
Day 8: victory
Villagers: 2
Mafioso: 2
Somehow it wouldn't surprise me to learn there is an odd/even guard left, but I'm hoping that's not the case. But who knows, it could be, considering both of the other powers were probably odd/even.
Even if there is, it'll only help if they get a bit of luck.
And frankly, I'd be more surprised by the village getting a perfect voting record.
Conclusion:
Lets put away a villager to the vote. Even if it arouses a bit of suspicion. This shouldn't be hard considering how things go, but if the math and assumptions are correct, they'll already have lost, even if they know who we are.
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 15:56:31 GMT -5
Oh. And Mascara replied to me, but hasn't voted yet.
She sounded like she might entertain the Kilroy vote. So that's good news.
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 16:04:02 GMT -5
One last thing:
I'm taking off from work in not too long. I might not make it back in time for vote close.
Make sure if you kill one, they're both going to die (even if by vote, etc).
I just went with the Cpt. Planet & Mascara vote on the chance he's masoned or something.
Go team skinwalker.
also: we should have been roleplaying more here. Seriously, anybody's skin you're looking forward to wearing?
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Post by smooveop on Apr 25, 2011 16:55:47 GMT -5
Clearly I want to wear Ringo's skin. I mean, that picture, he's got to be some sort of Alpaca or something right?
Warm, fuzzy AND fashionable. Perfect for the everyday gentleman skinwalker.
Also: I like the Cap and Mascara kills tonight. I hope some sort of wagon turns up soon (and its not any of us.)
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Post by DrKippy on Apr 25, 2011 17:03:54 GMT -5
Clearly I want to wear Ringo's skin. I mean, that picture, he's got to be some sort of Alpaca or something right? Warm, fuzzy AND fashionable. Perfect for the everyday gentleman skinwalker. Also: I like the Cap and Mascara kills tonight. I hope some sort of wagon turns up soon (and its not any of us.) Yay. TA took the Kilroy bait. I'm out. catch you all later. |
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